Presidential Approval and Concern over Covid-19 in Mexico

Main Article Content

Belinda Amador Leal González

Abstract

Several studies have found that sympathy with the incumbent affects perceptions of the pandemic. In countries with presidents who downplayed the seriousness of the coronavirus, government sympathizers report less concern about the disease. Then, we expect to observe a negative relationship between sympathy for the president and concern about COVID in these countries. In this text, I analyze the effect of presidential approval on the perceived severity of coronavirus disease in Mexico in contrast to Latin America. Using Americas Barometer surveys, I present three relevant results. First, I find that those who evaluate López Obrador's job better report less concern about COVID than those who evaluate him worse. Second, for the average Latin American, a positive evaluation of the president is associated with more significant concern about COVID, but the opposite effect occurs in Mexico and Brazil. Third, in Mexico, measures of diffuse evaluation do not affect the perceived severity of COVID-19, while in Latin America, they are associated with greater concern.

Article Details

How to Cite
Amador Leal González, B. (2023). Presidential Approval and Concern over Covid-19 in Mexico. Revista Mexicana De Opinión Pública, (34). https://doi.org/10.22201/fcpys.24484911e.2023.34.84241

Citas en Dimensions Service

Author Biography

Belinda Amador Leal González, Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales (FLACSO-México)

Doctora en Ciencia Política por el Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económica Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE), en donde se tituló con su investigación "Movilización Clientelar y la Brecha Socioeconómico-electoral". Maestra en Ciencias Sociales por la Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales (FLACSO-México) y licenciada en Ciencias Políticas por la Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla (BUAP). Recientemente fungió como jefa del Departamento de Investigación en El Colegio de Puebla A.C. Actualmente, está realizando una estancia postdoctoral en FLACSO-México.

References

Abramowitz, A. I., y Saunders, K. L. (2008). Is Polarization a Myth? The Journal of Politics, 70(2), 542–555. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381608080493

Aruguete, N., y Calvo, E. (2020). Coronavirus en Argentina. Polarización partidaria, encuadres mediáticos y temor al riesgo. Revista SAAP, 14(2). https://doi.org/10.46468/rsaap.14.2.A2

Aruguete, N., Calvo, E., Cantú, F., Ley, S., Scartascini, C. y Ventura, T. (2021). Partisan cues and perceived risks: The effect of partisan social media frames during the COVID-19 crisis in Mexico. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 31(sup1), 82–95. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2021.1924740

Barrios, J. M. y Hochberg, Y. V. (2021). Risk perceptions and politics: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Financial Economics, 142(2), 862–879. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.039

Batista Pereira, F. y Nunes, F. (2021). Media Choice and the Polarization of Public Opinion About Covid-19 in Brazil. Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.23681

Bell-Martin, R. V. y Díaz Domínguez, A. (2021). The Unmasked Electorate: Co-Partisanship, Personal Experience, and Perceptions of COVID-19 Risk in Mexico. Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública, 10(2), 137–162. https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.26490

Bol, D., Giani, M., Blais, A. y Loewen, P. J. (2021). The effect of COVID‐19 lockdowns on political support: Some good news for democracy? European Journal of Political Research, 60(2), 497–505. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12401

Brewer, M. D. (2005). The Rise of Partisanship and the Expansion of Partisan Conflict within the American Electorate. Political Research Quarterly, 58(2), 219–229. https://doi.org/10.1177/106591290505800203

Calvo, E. y Ventura, T. (2021). Will I Get COVID-19? Partisanship, Social Media Frames, and Perceptions of Health Risk in Brazil. Latin American Politics and Society, 63(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1017/lap.2020.30

Camhaji, E. (2021, febrero 8). López Obrador se resiste a recomendar el uso del cubrebocas en su retorno a las conferencias matutinas [El País]. https://elpais.com/mexico/2021-02-08/lopez-obrador-se-resiste-a-recomendar-el-uso-del-cubrebocas-en-su-retorno-a-las-conferencias-matutinas.html

Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E. y Stokes, D. E. (1980). The American Voter. University of Chicago Press.

Clinton, J., Cohen, J., Lapinski, J. y Trussler, M. (2021). Partisan pandemic: How partisanship and public health concerns affect individuals’ social mobility during COVID-19. Science Advances, 7(2), eabd7204. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd7204

Córdova, A. (2009). Methodological Note: Measuring Relative Wealth using Household Asset Indicators (Núm. 6; AmericasBarometer Insights: 2009). Vanderbilt University.

Druckman, J. N., Peterson, E. y Slothuus, R. (2013). How Elite Partisan Polarization Affects Public Opinion Formation. American Political Science Review, 107(1), 57–79. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055412000500

Dryhurst, S., Schneider, C. R., Kerr, J., Freeman, A. L. J., Recchia, G., Van der Bles, A. M., Spiegelhalter, D. y Van der Linden, S. (2020). Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world. Journal of Risk Research, 23(7–8), 994–1006. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2020.1758193

Easton, D. (1976). Theoretical Approaches to Political Support. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 9(3), 431–448. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0008423900044309

Esaiasson, P., Sohlberg, J., Ghersetti, M. y Johansson, B. (2021). How the coronavirus crisis affects citizen trust in institutions and in unknown others: Evidence from ‘the Swedish experiment’. European Journal of Political Research, 60(3), 748–760. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12419

Fetzer, T., Hensel, L., Hermle, J. y Roth, C. (2021). Coronavirus Perceptions and Economic Anxiety. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 103(5), 968–978. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00946

Goren, P. (2005). Party Identification and Core Political Values. American Journal of Political Science, 49(4), 881–896. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00161.x

Hetherington, M. J. (2001). Resurgent Mass Partisanship: The Role of Elite Polarization. American Political Science Review, 95(3), 619–631. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055401003045

Johansson, B., Hopmann, D. N. y Shehata, A. (2021). When the rally-around-the-flag effect disappears, or: When the COVID-19 pandemic becomes “normalized”. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 31(sup1), 321–334. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2021.1924742

Kahan, D. M., Peters, E., Wittlin, M., Slovic, P., Ouellette, L. L., Braman, D. y Mandel, G. (2012). The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate change risks. Nature Climate Change, 2(10), 732–735. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1547

Maaravi, Y. y Heller, B. (2020). Not all worries were created equal: The case of COVID-19 anxiety. Public Health, 185, 243–245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2020.06.032

Mann, F. D., Krueger, R. F. y Vohs, K. D. (2020). Personal economic anxiety in response to COVID-19. Personality and Individual Differences, 167, 110233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2020.110233

Martín Moreno, F. (2019, junio 21). Semejanzas entre AMLO y Trump [El País]. https://elpais.com/internacional/2019/06/21/mexico/1561150584_263035.html

McCright, A. M. y Dunlap, R. E. (2011). The Politicization of Climate Change and Polarization in the American Public’s Views of Global Warming, 2001–2010. The Sociological Quarterly, 52(2), 155–194. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1533-8525.2011.01198.x

Mian, A. R., Straub, L. y Sufi, A. (2020). The Saving Glut of the Rich (Núm. 26941; NBER Working Papers). National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Moreno, A. (2021, enero 22). Y hablando de polarización... [El Financiero].

Organización Mudial de la Salud. (2022). WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard. https://covid19.who.int/

Pennycook, G., McPhetres, J., Bago, B. y Rand, D. G. (2022). Beliefs About COVID-19 in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States: A Novel Test of Political Polarization and Motivated Reasoning. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 48(5), 750–765. https://doi.org/10.1177/01461672211023652

Peréz, M. (2020, octubre 20). AMLO y López Gatell se contradicen acerca de posible rebrote de Covid-19 [Periódico Digital]. El Economista. https://www.eleconomista.com.mx/politica/AMLO-y-Lopez-Gatell-se-contradicen-acerca-de-posible-rebrote-de-Covid-19-20201020-0059.html

Peterson, E. y Kagalwala, A. (2021). When Unfamiliarity Breeds Contempt: How Partisan Selective Exposure Sustains Oppositional Media Hostility. American Political Science Review, 115(2), 585–598. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055420001124

Pickup, M., Stecula, D. y van der Linden, C. (2020). Novel Coronavirus, Old Partisanship: COVID-19 Attitudes and Behaviours in the United States and Canada. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 53(2), 357–364. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0008423920000463

Presidencia de la República. (2020, marzo 18). Versión estenográfica de la conferencia de prensa matutina. Miércoles 18 de marzo de 2020. Versión estenográfica de la conferencia de prensa matutina. https://www.gob.mx/presidencia/es/articulos/version-estenografica-de-la-conferencia-de-prensa-matutina-miercoles-18-de-marzo-de-2020?idiom=es

Rutjens, B. T., Sutton, R. M. y van der Lee, R. (2018). Not All Skepticism Is Equal: Exploring the Ideological Antecedents of Science Acceptance and Rejection. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 44(3), 384–405. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167217741314

Schraff, D. (2021). Political trust during the Covid‐19 pandemic: Rally around the flag or lockdown effects? European Journal of Political Research, 60(4), 1007–1017. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12425

Stroud, N. J. y Collier, J. R. (2018). Selective exposure and homophily during the 2016 presidential campaign. En B. R. Warner, D. G. Bystrom, M. S. McKinney, & M. C. Banwart (Eds.), An unprecedented election: Media, communication, and the electorate in the 2016 Campaign (pp. 21–39). Praege.

Sylvester, S. M. (2021). COVID‐19 and Motivated Reasoning: The Influence of Knowledge on COVID‐Related Policy and Health Behavior. Social Science Quarterly, 102(5), 2341–2359. https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12989

Taber, C. S. y Lodge, M. (2006). Motivated Skepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs. American Journal of Political Science, 50(3), 755–769. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00214.x

Tsoy, D., Tirasawasdichai, T. e Ivanovich Kurpayanidi, K. (2021). Role of Social Media in Shaping Public Risk Perception during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Theoretical Review. The International Journal Of Management Science And Business Administration, 7(2), 35–41. https://doi.org/10.18775/ijmsba.1849-5664-5419.2014.72.1005

Zaller, J. (1992). The nature and origins of mass opinion. Cambridge University Press.