Causas de la recesión en la industria maquiladora

Abstract

THE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE OF THE MEXICAN MAQUILADOR SECTOR HAS BEEN SEVERELY AFFECTED SINCE LATE 2000, RESULTING IN A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN LAYOFFS AND THE CLOSURE OF AN IMPORTANT NUMBER OF BUSINESSES DEDICATED TO IN BOUND PRODUCTION. THIS PAPER IDENTIFIES THAT THE MAIN CAUSE OF THE RECESSION IN THE SECTOR WAS THE CONTRACTION OF THE EXTERNAL DEMAND, AND MEASURES ITS EFFECT ECONOMETRICALLY. ALTHOUGH THE PAPER RECOGNIZES THAT THE INCREASE IN THE COSTS OF LABOR FORCE AND SERVICES AS WELL AS CHANGES IN THE FISCAL REGIME COULD HAVE WEAKENED THE DYNAMICS OF THIS SECTOR, THIS HYPOTHESIS CANNOT BE SUPPORTED BY THE ECONOMETRIC RESULTS.