Trade imbalance in Mexico or why we cannot grow at a 7% rate

Abstract

DUE TO THE FACT OF HUGE DEPENDENCY OR IMPORTS FOR THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR TO PRODUCE, THE TRADE DEFICIENT CONSTITUTES THE MAIN OBSTACLE FOR THE ECONOMIC GROWTH. THE DYNAMYCS OF THE EXTERNAL CONSTRAINT TO GROW THAT EXISTS SINCE 1950 IS PRESENTED THROUGH A TRIANGULAR MOVEMENT. IT IS CONCLUDED THAT THE LONG RAM EQUILIBRIUM RATE OF GROWTH IS APPROXIMATELY 4.3%, THUS THE /% PURSUED BY THE NEX GOVERMMENT IS ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE, UNLES MANY STRUCTURAL CHANGES ARE ATTAINED.