RESTRICCIÓN FINANCIERA Y CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO EN MÉXICO
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Abstract
El objetivo de este trabajo es examinar la incidencia del desarrollo financiero sobre el crecimiento económico. Con este fin, mediante un modelo autorregresivo con rezagos distribuidos se prueba empíricamente la participación del mercado bursátil y del sistema bancario en la dinámica del producto interno bruto de México durante el periodo 1996-2018. Los resultados principales muestran que la profundización del sistema financiero genera efectos bivalentes sobre la evolución del producto: por un lado, la evidencia sugiere una relación inversa con la intermediación bancaria y, por otro, una relación positiva con la capitalización bursátil.
FINANCIAL RESTRICTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MEXICO
ABSTRACT
The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of financial development on economic growth. The contribution of both capital and credit market movements on the dynamics of Mexico’s gross domestic product (GDP) over the period 1996-2017 is empirically tested using an Autoregressive Distributive Lag model. The main findings show that the deepening of the financial system generates bivalent effects on the evolution of GDP. The evidence also suggests an inverse relationship with bank intermediation and a positive one with stock market capitalization.
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