EL ROSTRO POBRE DE LA DIABETES EN MÉXICO
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Abstract
RESUMEN
El objetivo de este documento es modelar la dinámica de las privaciones sociales (PS) de la población carente en México con el fin de diferenciar sus condiciones materiales de vida en presencia o no de diabetes mellitus 2 (DM2). La idea es ofrecer evidencia sobre la influencia que tienen algunos factores económicos y sociales comunitarios en la cadena de causas que condicionan el desarrollo de la DM2 entre los pobres. Para tal efecto, probamos la hipótesis de que la probabilidad de experimentar PS en la población carente es mayor en los individuos que padecen DM2 según sean los tipos de localidades, PS y factores de riesgo clínico considerados. Los resultados obtenidos con un modelo de Markov oculto apoyan la hipótesis de que una parte de la población pobre, que es rural y diabética, es la que tiene más probabilidad actual y futura de experimentar privaciones sociales en México.
THE POOR FACE OF DIABETES IN MEXICO
ABSTRACT
This paper aims at modeling the dynamics of social deprivations (SD) of the Mexican poor population in order to differentiate their material living conditions in the presence or absence of diabetes mellitus 2 (DM2). The idea is to offer evidence on the influence of some community economic and social factors in the chain of causes conditioning the development of DM2 among the poor. For this purpose, we hypothesize that the probabilities of experiencing SD in the Mexican population are higher in individuals with DM2 depending on the type of localities, SD and clinical risk factors considered. The main results drawn from a hidden Markov model support the hypothesis that a part of the poor population, which is rural and diabetic, is the one with the highest probability (current and future) of experiencing sd in Mexico.
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