Synthetic Generation of Inflows in a Dam System of a Region Characterized by Extraordinary Winter Events

Abstract

In this paper synthetic monthly series of net basin inflows in four dams were generated; there are correlations and crossed correlations in historic series; Svanidze’s modified method was applied, adding a different way in the random selection of years including the fact that the net basin inflows distribution was influenced by winter events. Statistics media, standard deviation, skew, autocorrelation and crossed correlation were successfully reproduced.